Maret 2, 2010

kepala dan bahu bnbr 1 taon … 010310

Filed under: Grafik Harga Saham — bumi2009fans @ 6:54 am

Chart for Bakrie & Brothers Tbk (BNBR.JK)

The head and shoulders pattern is generally regarded as a reversal pattern and it is most often seen in uptrends. It is also most reliable when found in an uptrend as well. Eventually, the market begins to slow down and the forces of supply and demand are generally considered in balance.  Sellers come in at the highs (left shoulder) and the downside is probed (beginning neckline.)  Buyers soon return to the market and ultimately push through to new highs (head.) However, the new highs are quickly turned back and the downside is tested again (continuing neckline.)  Tentative buying re-emerges and the market rallies once more, but fails to take out the previous high. (This last top is considered the right shoulder.)  Buying dries up and the market tests the downside yet again. Your trendline for this pattern should be drawn from the beginning neckline to the continuing neckline.  (Volume has a greater importance in the head and shoulders pattern in comparison to other patterns.  Volume generally follows the price higher on the left shoulder. However, the head is formed on diminished volume indicating the buyers aren’t as aggressive as they once were.  And on the last rallying attempt-the left shoulder-volume is even lighter than on the head, signaling that the buyers may have exhausted themselves.)  New selling comes in and previous buyers get out.  The pattern is complete when the market breaks the neckline.  (Volume should increase on the breakout).

Bullish Three-Line Strike

Bullish Three-Line Strike

This pattern signals a trend…


How to identify…

  1. 1st three days make up the Three White Soldiers formation.
  2. The last day is a black day that opens above the 3rd day and closes below the 1st day’s open.
  • Similar pattern(s)…
  • Bullish Three White Soldiers
  • Psychology
    The 4th day is a powerful move down which destroys the reversal sentiment. Since the reversal has essentially already played out in a matter of one day, the risk is now higher for those who wish to bet on a reversal. The uptrend should resume.

    … kalo bullish three white soldiers merupakan sinyal pembalikan arah dari bullish ke bearish untuk sementara … sedangkan bullish 3 line strike merupakan sinyal kelanjutan tren bullish sebelumnya … ini bisa terlihat sepintas mirip tren pada pra-Mei 2009 … sejak itu bnbr mengalami kenaikan s/d 140-an dari 60-an … kalo disimak juga ada semacam pola head and shoulders sejak 1 tahun terakhir ini … ini berarti ada ekspektasi pembalikan arah menuju area bullish lage …


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